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Oil Prices Slip as Ukraine Peace Talks Progress and China’s Economy Stalls
Oil prices were under pressure in early Asian trading on Tuesday as growing optimism around Russia-Ukraine peace talks and disappointing economic indicators out of China undercut market sentiment, reinforcing downside pressure on crude benchmarks.
At the time of writing, WTI crude hovered at $56.49 a barrel, down roughly 0.6%, while Brent crude was trading at $60.20, also about 0.6% lower. These levels reflect continued softness from the prior session’s declines.
Rising optimism over a potential peace deal to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict added to downward pressure as U.S. officials proposed NATO-style security guarantees for Ukraine in talks with Kyiv in Berlin. President Trump suggested that the negotiators are “closer now than we have been ever.” If a deal were to be made, it would likely lead to an easing of sanctions and an increase in future Russian oil supply.
Compounding the bearish narrative in oil markets, weak economic data out of China, the world’s largest crude importer, boosted concerns of oversupply. Official statistics released on Monday showed China’s factory output slowing to a 15-month low and retail sales expanding at their slowest pace in nearly three years. These figures heightened market worries about the strength of global oil demand in 2026.
Soft demand signals from China, coupled with ongoing trade and industrial headwinds in other parts of Asia, are reinforcing macro pressures that have kept crude prices under strain for months now.
For now, oil traders will remain reluctant to chase prices higher until there is a clear movement in demand signals or a major supply disruption.
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